Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.044524 0.052534 0.061508 0.072296 0.084908 0.099177 0.116540
2025-06-29 0.030972 0.040930 0.053339 0.069905 0.091406 0.118337 0.154602
2025-07-06 0.023160 0.033431 0.047333 0.067453 0.095752 0.134053 0.189746
2025-07-13 0.019188 0.029788 0.045144 0.068886 0.104534 0.155908 0.235388
2025-07-20 0.016101 0.026635 0.042823 0.069331 0.111443 0.175501 0.280014
2025-07-27 0.013784 0.024141 0.040924 0.069848 0.118167 0.195272 0.327128
2025-08-03 0.012063 0.022258 0.039595 0.070902 0.125638 0.216846 0.379572
2025-08-10 0.010858 0.021022 0.039094 0.073153 0.135238 0.242861 0.442433
2025-08-17 0.009178 0.018619 0.036144 0.070566 0.135886 0.253495 0.479811
2025-08-24 0.008086 0.017135 0.034620 0.070309 0.140605 0.271696 0.532724
2025-08-31 0.007083 0.015653 0.032861 0.069301 0.143673 0.287078 0.582054
2025-09-07 0.006482 0.014897 0.032411 0.070793 0.151761 0.312798 0.654150
2025-09-14 0.005717 0.013678 0.030868 0.069885 0.155016 0.329765 0.711678
2025-09-21 0.004981 0.012403 0.029020 0.068064 0.156124 0.342567 0.762421
2025-09-28 0.004318 0.011179 0.027095 0.065770 0.155859 0.352412 0.808052
2025-10-05 0.003991 0.010709 0.026816 0.067188 0.164059 0.381320 0.898528
2025-10-12 0.003640 0.010121 0.026166 0.067627 0.170037 0.405992 0.982449
2025-10-19 0.003333 0.009593 0.025581 0.068132 0.176226 0.431829 1.072078
2025-10-26 0.003086 0.009182 0.025228 0.069161 0.183818 0.461784 1.174914
2025-11-02 0.002916 0.008957 0.025322 0.071359 0.194629 0.500641 1.303751
2025-11-09 0.002563 0.008143 0.023726 0.068833 0.192924 0.508738 1.357575
2025-11-16 0.002340 0.007674 0.023003 0.068583 0.197195 0.532249 1.453122
2025-11-23 0.002114 0.007157 0.022067 0.067598 0.199342 0.550559 1.537355